Thanks a lot for your kind comment. I really appreciate it.

I have thought about factoring in the risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection, but I can’t seem to find the right data for it. It’s true that vaccines are a yes/no condition, whereas SARS-CoV-2 infection is a more variable condition with risk numbers that differ based on occupation, geography, population immunity, public health measures, etc. It’s also true that vaccinated people can get infected, and the vaccine’s effectiveness wane after about six months.

But regarding your questions about these, I must admit that I’m not sure what’s the answer. As you know, I write about science, so I am merely conveying what other scientists have found.

That said, I have seen at least one study (link below) finding that the risk of long-COVID decreases by half in vaccinated vs. unvaccinated people. Judging from this, I think vaccinated people who got infected would also face lower risks of other adverse events compared to unvaccinated, infected people. But this is just my speculation as I have not seen any studies about it.

https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(21)00460-6/fulltext